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2020年全球写字楼市场影响与复苏

[发布时间:]2020/12/18 11:07:27 [编辑]53office [人气]76

       [摘要]在考虑到项目有可能延期的背景下,基准预测大中华区写字楼市场平均空置率将从当前的21%,于2021年末攀升至最高点26%。预计2022年末整体写字楼市场需求将超出供应,空置率则将在2023年开始下滑。

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  《2020年全球写字楼市场影响与复苏》重要研究结论:

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  YUJIDAO2025NIAN,QUANQIUXIEZILOUKONGZHILVHUIGUIWEIJIQIAN11%DEPINGJUNSHUIPING,ZUJINHUIFUDAOWEIJIQIANZUIGAOSHUIPING。

  全球视角,写字楼复苏初见曙光

  WOMENYOULIANGGEZHONGYAOFAXIAN。SHOUXIAN,HAOWUYIWEN,CICIYIQINGJIANGJIXIEZILOUZULINSHICHANGDEJIBENMIANDAILAIJIDADEYINGXIANG。HENDUOQIYEZHENGZAIJIANSHAOBANGONGCHANGSUOBUJU。SHISHISHANG,XIEZILOUDEKONGZHILVYIJINGDADAOSHISHANGZUIGAOSHUIPING。

  DIERGEYOUQU、SHENZHISHILIAOWEIJIDEZHONGYAOFAXIANSHIXIEZILOUSHICHANGYIJINGKAISHIFUSU。HENDACHENGDUSHANGSHIYINWEIJIUYEGANGWEIZENGJIA,YOUQISHISHIYONGBANGONGCHANGSUODEJIUYECHUXIANLEZENGZHANG。

  JUJIABANGONGSHIMUQIANDEQUSHI,WOMENRENWEIZHEIZHONGQUSHIHAIHUIZENGZHANG,SHIJISHANGYINWEICICIXINGUANYIQING,ZHANGQIJUJIABANGONGJIANGCHUXIANSHUANGBEIZENGZHANG。TONGSHI,WOMENYUJILINGHUODANXINGBANGONGDERENYUAN,SHIERJUJIABANGONG,SHIERGONGSIBANGONG,YEHUIZENGJIA。SUIZHEJINGJIXINGSHIDENIUZHUAN,BANGONGCHANGSUOJIUYEDEZENGZHANG,JIANGCHONGDIJUJIABANGONGSUOZAOCHENGDEYINGXIANG。

  全球复苏下的中国速度

  ZHONGGUODALUDEJINGJIYIYUERJIDUHUIGUIZHENGXIANGZENGZHANG,XIEZILOUSHICHANGKAISHIFUSU。ZHENGTIDAZHONGHUAQUXIEZILOUSHICHANGJINGXINALIANGYIYUSANJIDUYUANCHAOCHUJIZHUNYUCESHUIPING,NIANNEILEIJI940WANPINGFANGYINGCHI,WEIYUANQUANNIANJIZHUNYUCE (430WANPINGFANGYINGCHI) DELIANGBEIZHIYU。WOMENYUJISUIZHEKEXUANZEDEYOUZHIXIANGMUBUDUANRUSHI,YOUQIZAIFEIHEXINQU,JIANGCUSHIYIBUFENZUHUBANQIANBINGKUOZHANG,DUIZHENGTISHICHANGXINALIANGCHANSHENGZHENGMIANYINGXIANG。

  RANER,YUYATAIQUQITASHICHANGSHIFENXIANGSI,DAZHONGHUAQUZAIMIANLINYIQINGKAOYANDETONGSHIYEZHENGYINGLAIXIEZILOUDEGONGYINGCHAO。ZAIKAOLVDAOXIANGMUYOUKENENGYANQIDEBEIJINGXIA,JIZHUNYUCEDAZHONGHUAQUXIEZILOUSHICHANGPINGJUNKONGZHILVJIANGCONGDANGQIANDE21%,YU2021NIANMOPANSHENGZHIZUIGAODIAN26%。YUJI2022NIANMOZHENGTIXIEZILOUSHICHANGXUQIUJIANGCHAOCHUGONGYING,KONGZHILVZEJIANGZAI2023NIANKAISHIXIAHUA。

  


  


  随着空置率的不断攀升,甲级写字楼平均有效租金也随之下降。2020年上半年大中华区平均租金下降了6.0%;我们预测,2020年末将比2019年末租金水平下降8.0%,2021年将继续下调5.2%,跌至最低点。随着空置率的下降,平均租金预计将于2022年末开始反弹,并在2023、2024年呈显著增长趋势。

  


  DAZHONGHUAQUZUHUYANJIUZHUGUANShaun BrodieBIAOSHI,BAOGAOYANJIUDESUOYOUDIQUZHONG,GUJIZHONGGUODALUDEJIEGOUXINGBANGONGXUQIUZAI2022--2030NIANJIANSHOUDAOJUJIABANGONGZHENGCEDEYINGXIANGZUIXIAO。2020NIANDIYIJIDU,ZHONGGUODALUCHENGGONGSHISHIDUANZANDETINGGONGJUCUO,CONGERXUNSUHUIFUZHENGCHANGDEXIEZILOUBANGONGZHUANGTAI,BINGWEIGENBENGAIBIANDAJIADEGONGZUOXIGUAN。

  ZHONGGUOQUQIYEFUWUBUDONGSHIZONGJINGLIWEICHAOYINGBIAOSHI,WOMENYUJIZHONGGUODALUYUEYOU85%YISHANGDEZULINXUQIULAIZIGUONEIGONGSI。TONGCHANGQINGKUANGXIA,ZHEIXIEGONGSIYUXIFANGGONGSIZAIXINKAIMOYUSIFUFANGMIANJUYOUXIANZHECHAYI。CIWAI,DAJIADUIQUANZHIJUJIABANGONGHUIDAILAIYOUXIAOCHENGGUOHUOCHENGWEIZHULIUBANGONGFANGSHIZHEIYIGUANDIANPUBIANCHIHUAIYITAIDU。

  《2020年全球写字楼市场影响与复苏》是系列研究的首份报告,该系列由四部分构成,针对写字楼市场的未来及其在后疫情环境中发挥的作用,提供全新和深入的洞察。更多相关内容请关注2020年三季度20城市写字楼市场回顾与展望 。

已是第一条信息! 与各种办公空间相比,...